Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000298 0.000332 0.000372 0.000418 0.000467 0.000526
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000247 0.000299 0.000365 0.000447 0.000547 0.000677
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000220 0.000284 0.000370 0.000486 0.000636 0.000848
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000200 0.000271 0.000373 0.000518 0.000718 0.001018
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000176 0.000248 0.000356 0.000518 0.000753 0.001127
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000164 0.000239 0.000358 0.000544 0.000826 0.001298
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000159 0.000241 0.000374 0.000591 0.000936 0.001542
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000146 0.000228 0.000366 0.000600 0.000986 0.001693
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000132 0.000211 0.000349 0.000589 0.001001 0.001786
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000126 0.000207 0.000353 0.000616 0.001083 0.002008
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000125 0.000211 0.000370 0.000666 0.001212 0.002337
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000117 0.000202 0.000364 0.000674 0.001263 0.002521
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000111 0.000196 0.000363 0.000692 0.001338 0.002773
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000104 0.000187 0.000356 0.000698 0.001392 0.002989
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000100 0.000185 0.000360 0.000728 0.001500 0.003343
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000096 0.000182 0.000364 0.000755 0.001604 0.003705
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000088 0.000170 0.000347 0.000739 0.001611 0.003837
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000085 0.000167 0.000349 0.000762 0.001710 0.004214
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000170 0.000364 0.000818 0.001892 0.004838
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000080 0.000164 0.000357 0.000820 0.001945 0.005129
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000074 0.000153 0.000340 0.000797 0.001933 0.005238
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000152 0.000344 0.000826 0.002058 0.005759
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000155 0.000360 0.000887 0.002276 0.006599